Fastest Declining Countries (2024–2050)
193 Countries
A growing number of countries face population decline driven by persistently low fertility rates, aging populations, and emigration. This trend is most pronounced in Eastern Europe, East Asia, and Southern Europe, where birth rates have fallen well below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman. Population decline poses significant economic challenges: shrinking workforces, rising dependency ratios, and increased pressure on pension and healthcare systems. The countries listed below are projected to experience the steepest population decreases between 2024 and 2050. Addressing demographic decline requires innovative policies in immigration, family support, and economic restructuring.
| # | Country | Pop. 2024 | Pop. 2050 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kosovo
Europe |
1,594,353 | 482,340 | -69.7% |
| 2 |
Republic of Moldova
Europe |
2,402,306 | 1,457,801 | -39.3% |
| 3 |
Albania
Europe |
2,377,128 | 1,697,820 | -28.6% |
| 4 |
Latvia
Europe |
1,866,124 | 1,521,698 | -18.5% |
| 5 |
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
North America |
100,616 | 86,414 | -14.1% |
| 6 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Europe |
3,164,253 | 2,744,029 | -13.3% |
| 7 |
Serbia
Europe |
6,586,476 | 5,837,600 | -11.4% |
| 8 |
Sri Lanka
Asia |
21,916,000 | 19,446,052 | -11.3% |
| 9 |
United States Virgin Islands
North America |
104,377 | 93,313 | -10.6% |
| 10 |
Belarus
Europe |
9,132,629 | 8,195,193 | -10.3% |
| 11 |
Japan
Asia |
123,975,371 | 112,788,849 | -9% |
| 12 |
Georgia
Asia |
3,699,557 | 3,370,201 | -8.9% |
| 13 |
Tonga
Oceania |
104,175 | 95,424 | -8.4% |
| 14 |
Cuba
North America |
10,979,783 | 10,143,701 | -7.6% |
| 15 |
Poland
Europe |
36,559,233 | 33,886,763 | -7.3% |
| 16 |
Hungary
Europe |
9,562,065 | 8,931,364 | -6.6% |
| 17 |
Mauritius
Africa |
1,245,779 | 1,185,174 | -4.9% |
| 18 |
Russian Federation
Europe |
143,533,851 | 137,339,757 | -4.3% |
| 19 |
North Macedonia
Europe |
1,824,359 | 1,750,985 | -4% |
| 20 |
China, Hong Kong SAR
Asia |
7,524,100 | 7,268,572 | -3.4% |
| 21 |
Nepal
Asia |
29,651,054 | 28,722,220 | -3.1% |
| 22 |
China
Asia |
1,408,975,000 | 1,371,883,856 | -2.6% |
| 23 |
Slovakia
Europe |
5,422,069 | 5,321,809 | -1.8% |
| 24 |
Bulgaria
Europe |
6,441,421 | 6,330,273 | -1.7% |
| 25 |
Italy
Europe |
58,952,704 | 58,273,910 | -1.2% |
| 26 |
Thailand
Asia |
71,668,011 | 70,926,053 | -1% |
| 27 |
Uruguay
South America |
3,386,588 | 3,354,395 | -1% |
| 28 |
Romania
Europe |
19,051,804 | 18,852,274 | -1% |
| 29 |
Jamaica
North America |
2,839,175 | 2,825,968 | -0.5% |
| 30 |
Greece
Europe |
10,405,134 | 10,357,210 | -0.5% |
| 31 |
Puerto Rico
North America |
3,203,295 | 3,192,545 | -0.3% |
| 32 |
Montenegro
Europe |
623,525 | 623,438 | 0% |
| 33 |
Barbados
North America |
282,467 | 285,320 | 1% |
| 34 |
Trinidad and Tobago
North America |
1,368,333 | 1,386,282 | 1.3% |
| 35 |
Republic of Korea
Asia |
51,751,065 | 52,590,851 | 1.6% |
| 36 |
Grenada
North America |
117,207 | 119,969 | 2.4% |
| 37 |
Estonia
Europe |
1,372,341 | 1,417,602 | 3.3% |
| 38 |
Croatia
Europe |
3,866,200 | 4,009,964 | 3.7% |
| 39 |
Iceland
Europe |
386,506 | 405,213 | 4.8% |
| 40 |
Turkiye
Asia |
85,518,661 | 89,798,102 | 5% |
| 41 |
French Polynesia
Oceania |
281,807 | 297,141 | 5.4% |
| 42 |
Saint Lucia
North America |
179,744 | 189,971 | 5.7% |
| 43 |
France
Europe |
68,551,653 | 72,551,045 | 5.8% |
| 44 |
Germany
Europe |
83,516,593 | 88,637,091 | 6.1% |
| 45 |
Dem. People's Republic of Korea
Asia |
26,498,823 | 28,304,867 | 6.8% |
| 46 |
Sweden
Europe |
10,569,709 | 11,311,419 | 7% |
| 47 |
Slovenia
Europe |
2,127,400 | 2,283,226 | 7.3% |
| 48 |
Ukraine
Europe |
37,860,221 | 40,724,099 | 7.6% |
| 49 |
Maldives
Asia |
527,799 | 568,404 | 7.7% |
| 50 |
Argentina
South America |
45,696,159 | 49,246,324 | 7.8% |
| 51 |
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
South America |
28,405,543 | 30,767,533 | 8.3% |
| 52 |
Czechia
Europe |
10,905,028 | 11,830,499 | 8.5% |
| 53 |
Brazil
South America |
211,998,573 | 231,430,711 | 9.2% |
| 54 |
El Salvador
North America |
6,338,193 | 6,988,662 | 10.3% |
| 55 |
Bahamas
North America |
401,283 | 443,285 | 10.5% |
| 56 |
Micronesia (Fed. States of)
Oceania |
113,160 | 125,251 | 10.7% |
| 57 |
Azerbaijan
Asia |
10,202,830 | 11,319,062 | 10.9% |
| 58 |
Costa Rica
North America |
5,129,910 | 5,686,635 | 10.9% |
| 59 |
Cabo Verde
Africa |
524,877 | 583,067 | 11.1% |
| 60 |
Fiji
Oceania |
928,784 | 1,034,980 | 11.4% |
| 61 |
Austria
Europe |
9,177,982 | 10,236,556 | 11.5% |
| 62 |
Denmark
Europe |
5,976,992 | 6,664,904 | 11.5% |
| 63 |
Chile
South America |
19,764,771 | 22,199,719 | 12.3% |
| 64 |
Lebanon
Asia |
5,805,962 | 6,554,200 | 12.9% |
| 65 |
Guyana
South America |
831,087 | 940,307 | 13.1% |
| 66 |
Lithuania
Europe |
2,888,278 | 3,273,766 | 13.3% |
| 67 |
Aruba
North America |
107,995 | 122,700 | 13.6% |
| 68 |
Samoa
Oceania |
218,019 | 249,487 | 14.4% |
| 69 |
Tunisia
Africa |
12,277,109 | 14,057,051 | 14.5% |
| 70 |
Viet Nam
Asia |
100,987,686 | 115,747,313 | 14.6% |
| 71 |
Finland
Europe |
5,619,911 | 6,457,083 | 14.9% |
| 72 |
Netherlands
Europe |
17,993,485 | 20,701,456 | 15% |
| 73 |
Bhutan
Asia |
791,524 | 911,146 | 15.1% |
| 74 |
Belgium
Europe |
11,858,610 | 13,692,586 | 15.5% |
| 75 |
Myanmar
Asia |
54,500,091 | 63,048,224 | 15.7% |
| 76 |
Bahrain
Asia |
1,588,670 | 1,861,424 | 17.2% |
| 77 |
Guam
Oceania |
167,777 | 197,724 | 17.8% |
| 78 |
Sudan
Africa |
50,448,963 | 60,070,210 | 19.1% |
| 79 |
Indonesia
Asia |
283,487,931 | 337,952,241 | 19.2% |
| 80 |
Brunei Darussalam
Asia |
462,721 | 552,172 | 19.3% |
| 81 |
Philippines
Asia |
115,843,670 | 138,448,839 | 19.5% |
| 82 |
Dominican Republic
North America |
11,427,557 | 13,718,132 | 20% |
| 83 |
Curacao
North America |
155,967 | 187,198 | 20% |
| 84 |
Ecuador
South America |
18,135,478 | 21,837,910 | 20.4% |
| 85 |
Mexico
North America |
130,861,007 | 157,575,696 | 20.4% |
| 86 |
Suriname
South America |
634,431 | 766,801 | 20.9% |
| 87 |
India
Asia |
1,450,935,791 | 1,758,519,525 | 21.2% |
| 88 |
Kuwait
Asia |
4,897,263 | 5,946,395 | 21.4% |
| 89 |
New Caledonia
Oceania |
292,639 | 359,282 | 22.8% |
| 90 |
Norway
Europe |
5,572,279 | 6,839,976 | 22.8% |
| 91 |
Morocco
Africa |
38,081,173 | 46,976,028 | 23.4% |
| 92 |
United States of America
North America |
340,110,988 | 419,876,982 | 23.5% |
| 93 |
Cyprus
Asia |
1,358,282 | 1,679,734 | 23.7% |
| 94 |
Jordan
Asia |
11,552,876 | 14,300,111 | 23.8% |
| 95 |
Eswatini
Africa |
1,242,822 | 1,540,740 | 24% |
| 96 |
Spain
Europe |
48,848,840 | 60,888,472 | 24.6% |
| 97 |
Libya
Africa |
7,381,023 | 9,210,261 | 24.8% |
| 98 |
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Asia |
91,567,738 | 114,914,867 | 25.5% |
| 99 |
United Kingdom
Europe |
69,226,000 | 87,121,132 | 25.9% |
| 100 |
Colombia
South America |
52,886,363 | 66,679,564 | 26.1% |
| 101 |
Portugal
Europe |
10,694,681 | 13,544,554 | 26.6% |
| 102 |
Peru
South America |
34,217,848 | 43,321,358 | 26.6% |
| 103 |
Lesotho
Africa |
2,337,423 | 2,973,715 | 27.2% |
| 104 |
Haiti
North America |
11,772,557 | 15,100,817 | 28.3% |
| 105 |
Timor-Leste
Asia |
1,400,638 | 1,804,192 | 28.8% |
| 106 |
China, Macao SAR
Asia |
687,000 | 889,973 | 29.5% |
| 107 |
Bangladesh
Asia |
173,562,364 | 225,509,695 | 29.9% |
| 108 |
Malaysia
Asia |
35,557,673 | 46,259,275 | 30.1% |
| 109 |
Cambodia
Asia |
17,638,801 | 22,973,804 | 30.2% |
| 110 |
Paraguay
South America |
6,929,153 | 9,041,300 | 30.5% |
| 111 |
Mongolia
Asia |
3,524,788 | 4,610,584 | 30.8% |
| 112 |
South Africa
Africa |
64,007,187 | 83,789,173 | 30.9% |
| 113 |
Israel
Asia |
9,974,400 | 13,101,026 | 31.3% |
| 114 |
Panama
North America |
4,515,577 | 5,932,403 | 31.4% |
| 115 |
Kazakhstan
Asia |
20,592,571 | 27,149,715 | 31.8% |
| 116 |
Switzerland
Europe |
9,005,582 | 11,929,904 | 32.5% |
| 117 |
Seychelles
Africa |
121,354 | 160,979 | 32.7% |
| 118 |
Nicaragua
North America |
6,916,140 | 9,244,524 | 33.7% |
| 119 |
Lao People's Democratic Republic
Asia |
7,769,819 | 10,411,119 | 34% |
| 120 |
Djibouti
Africa |
1,168,722 | 1,566,320 | 34% |
| 121 |
Bolivia (Plurinational State of)
South America |
12,413,315 | 16,682,169 | 34.4% |
| 122 |
Algeria
Africa |
46,814,308 | 63,269,034 | 35.1% |
| 123 |
Belize
North America |
417,072 | 568,807 | 36.4% |
| 124 |
Kiribati
Oceania |
134,518 | 185,356 | 37.8% |
| 125 |
Pakistan
Asia |
251,269,164 | 347,767,910 | 38.4% |
| 126 |
Guatemala
North America |
18,406,359 | 25,648,541 | 39.3% |
| 127 |
Ireland
Europe |
5,395,790 | 7,571,204 | 40.3% |
| 128 |
Luxembourg
Europe |
677,012 | 950,293 | 40.4% |
| 129 |
Botswana
Africa |
2,521,139 | 3,584,494 | 42.2% |
| 130 |
New Zealand
Oceania |
5,287,500 | 7,571,336 | 43.2% |
| 131 |
Honduras
North America |
10,825,703 | 15,554,738 | 43.7% |
| 132 |
Kyrgyzstan
Asia |
7,221,868 | 10,422,644 | 44.3% |
| 133 |
Egypt
Africa |
116,538,258 | 169,191,501 | 45.2% |
| 134 |
Turkmenistan
Asia |
7,494,498 | 10,921,091 | 45.7% |
| 135 |
Zimbabwe
Africa |
16,634,373 | 24,394,762 | 46.7% |
| 136 |
Papua New Guinea
Oceania |
10,576,502 | 15,517,766 | 46.7% |
| 137 |
Eritrea
Africa |
3,535,603 | 5,275,688 | 49.2% |
| 138 |
Ghana
Africa |
34,427,414 | 51,517,303 | 49.6% |
| 139 |
Comoros
Africa |
866,628 | 1,301,488 | 50.2% |
| 140 |
Tajikistan
Asia |
10,590,927 | 15,991,984 | 51% |
| 141 |
Kenya
Africa |
56,432,944 | 85,945,281 | 52.3% |
| 142 |
Uzbekistan
Asia |
36,361,859 | 55,533,060 | 52.7% |
| 143 |
Australia
Oceania |
27,196,812 | 41,741,598 | 53.5% |
| 144 |
Singapore
Asia |
6,036,860 | 9,266,654 | 53.5% |
| 145 |
Sao Tome and Principe
Africa |
235,536 | 362,011 | 53.7% |
| 146 |
Nigeria
Africa |
232,679,478 | 363,961,104 | 56.4% |
| 147 |
Sierra Leone
Africa |
8,642,022 | 13,632,758 | 57.7% |
| 148 |
Iraq
Asia |
46,042,015 | 72,663,254 | 57.8% |
| 149 |
Rwanda
Africa |
14,256,567 | 22,581,192 | 58.4% |
| 150 |
Gabon
Africa |
2,538,952 | 4,033,995 | 58.9% |
| 151 |
Liberia
Africa |
5,612,817 | 8,919,569 | 58.9% |
| 152 |
Guinea-Bissau
Africa |
2,201,352 | 3,534,134 | 60.5% |
| 153 |
Namibia
Africa |
3,030,131 | 4,897,851 | 61.6% |
| 154 |
Togo
Africa |
9,515,236 | 15,394,052 | 61.8% |
| 155 |
Burkina Faso
Africa |
23,548,781 | 38,135,337 | 61.9% |
| 156 |
Vanuatu
Oceania |
327,777 | 533,926 | 62.9% |
| 157 |
Gambia
Africa |
2,759,988 | 4,499,442 | 63% |
| 158 |
Armenia
Asia |
3,033,500 | 4,977,298 | 64.1% |
| 159 |
Senegal
Africa |
18,501,984 | 30,441,428 | 64.5% |
| 160 |
State of Palestine
Asia |
5,289,152 | 8,775,974 | 65.9% |
| 161 |
Solomon Islands
Oceania |
819,198 | 1,362,283 | 66.3% |
| 162 |
Guinea
Africa |
14,754,785 | 24,667,964 | 67.2% |
| 163 |
Congo
Africa |
6,332,961 | 10,593,083 | 67.3% |
| 164 |
Equatorial Guinea
Africa |
1,892,516 | 3,169,923 | 67.5% |
| 165 |
Cote d'Ivoire
Africa |
31,934,230 | 53,847,569 | 68.6% |
| 166 |
Madagascar
Africa |
31,964,956 | 53,888,688 | 68.6% |
| 167 |
Benin
Africa |
14,462,724 | 24,519,814 | 69.5% |
| 168 |
Malawi
Africa |
21,655,286 | 37,617,972 | 73.7% |
| 169 |
Ethiopia
Africa |
132,059,767 | 229,749,642 | 74% |
| 170 |
Burundi
Africa |
14,047,786 | 24,441,721 | 74% |
| 171 |
Cameroon
Africa |
29,123,744 | 50,982,154 | 75.1% |
| 172 |
Uganda
Africa |
50,015,092 | 90,209,038 | 80.4% |
| 173 |
Zambia
Africa |
21,314,956 | 38,920,106 | 82.6% |
| 174 |
Afghanistan
Asia |
42,647,492 | 78,281,248 | 83.6% |
| 175 |
Malta
Europe |
568,847 | 1,051,800 | 84.9% |
| 176 |
United Republic of Tanzania
Africa |
68,560,157 | 126,852,590 | 85% |
| 177 |
Mauritania
Africa |
5,169,395 | 9,584,238 | 85.4% |
| 178 |
Mozambique
Africa |
34,631,766 | 64,698,951 | 86.8% |
| 179 |
Mali
Africa |
24,478,595 | 45,936,372 | 87.7% |
| 180 |
Canada
North America |
41,288,599 | 77,827,500 | 88.5% |
| 181 |
Yemen
Asia |
40,583,164 | 76,820,227 | 89.3% |
| 182 |
Angola
Africa |
37,885,849 | 72,661,550 | 91.8% |
| 183 |
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Africa |
109,276,265 | 218,543,121 | 100% |
| 184 |
Niger
Africa |
27,032,412 | 54,502,451 | 101.6% |
| 185 |
Central African Republic
Africa |
5,330,690 | 11,023,801 | 106.8% |
| 186 |
Somalia
Africa |
19,009,151 | 39,984,794 | 110.3% |
| 187 |
South Sudan
Africa |
11,943,408 | 27,588,798 | 131% |
| 188 |
Syrian Arab Republic
Asia |
24,672,760 | 63,813,081 | 158.6% |
| 189 |
Oman
Asia |
5,281,538 | 13,743,837 | 160.2% |
| 190 |
Saudi Arabia
Asia |
35,300,280 | 94,460,425 | 167.6% |
| 191 |
United Arab Emirates
Asia |
10,986,400 | 29,718,796 | 170.5% |
| 192 |
Chad
Africa |
20,299,123 | 58,029,297 | 185.9% |
| 193 |
Qatar
Asia |
2,857,822 | 13,322,981 | 366.2% |