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A growing number of countries face population decline driven by persistently low fertility rates, aging populations, and emigration. This trend is most pronounced in Eastern Europe, East Asia, and Southern Europe, where birth rates have fallen well below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman. Population decline poses significant economic challenges: shrinking workforces, rising dependency ratios, and increased pressure on pension and healthcare systems. The countries listed below are projected to experience the steepest population decreases between 2024 and 2050. Addressing demographic decline requires innovative policies in immigration, family support, and economic restructuring.

# Country Pop. 2024 Pop. 2050 Change
1 Kosovo
Europe
1,594,353 482,340 -69.7%
2 Republic of Moldova
Europe
2,402,306 1,457,801 -39.3%
3 Albania
Europe
2,377,128 1,697,820 -28.6%
4 Latvia
Europe
1,866,124 1,521,698 -18.5%
5 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
North America
100,616 86,414 -14.1%
6 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Europe
3,164,253 2,744,029 -13.3%
7 Serbia
Europe
6,586,476 5,837,600 -11.4%
8 Sri Lanka
Asia
21,916,000 19,446,052 -11.3%
9 United States Virgin Islands
North America
104,377 93,313 -10.6%
10 Belarus
Europe
9,132,629 8,195,193 -10.3%
11 Japan
Asia
123,975,371 112,788,849 -9%
12 Georgia
Asia
3,699,557 3,370,201 -8.9%
13 Tonga
Oceania
104,175 95,424 -8.4%
14 Cuba
North America
10,979,783 10,143,701 -7.6%
15 Poland
Europe
36,559,233 33,886,763 -7.3%
16 Hungary
Europe
9,562,065 8,931,364 -6.6%
17 Mauritius
Africa
1,245,779 1,185,174 -4.9%
18 Russian Federation
Europe
143,533,851 137,339,757 -4.3%
19 North Macedonia
Europe
1,824,359 1,750,985 -4%
20 China, Hong Kong SAR
Asia
7,524,100 7,268,572 -3.4%
21 Nepal
Asia
29,651,054 28,722,220 -3.1%
22 China
Asia
1,408,975,000 1,371,883,856 -2.6%
23 Slovakia
Europe
5,422,069 5,321,809 -1.8%
24 Bulgaria
Europe
6,441,421 6,330,273 -1.7%
25 Italy
Europe
58,952,704 58,273,910 -1.2%
26 Thailand
Asia
71,668,011 70,926,053 -1%
27 Uruguay
South America
3,386,588 3,354,395 -1%
28 Romania
Europe
19,051,804 18,852,274 -1%
29 Jamaica
North America
2,839,175 2,825,968 -0.5%
30 Greece
Europe
10,405,134 10,357,210 -0.5%
31 Puerto Rico
North America
3,203,295 3,192,545 -0.3%
32 Montenegro
Europe
623,525 623,438 0%
33 Barbados
North America
282,467 285,320 1%
34 Trinidad and Tobago
North America
1,368,333 1,386,282 1.3%
35 Republic of Korea
Asia
51,751,065 52,590,851 1.6%
36 Grenada
North America
117,207 119,969 2.4%
37 Estonia
Europe
1,372,341 1,417,602 3.3%
38 Croatia
Europe
3,866,200 4,009,964 3.7%
39 Iceland
Europe
386,506 405,213 4.8%
40 Turkiye
Asia
85,518,661 89,798,102 5%
41 French Polynesia
Oceania
281,807 297,141 5.4%
42 Saint Lucia
North America
179,744 189,971 5.7%
43 France
Europe
68,551,653 72,551,045 5.8%
44 Germany
Europe
83,516,593 88,637,091 6.1%
45 Dem. People's Republic of Korea
Asia
26,498,823 28,304,867 6.8%
46 Sweden
Europe
10,569,709 11,311,419 7%
47 Slovenia
Europe
2,127,400 2,283,226 7.3%
48 Ukraine
Europe
37,860,221 40,724,099 7.6%
49 Maldives
Asia
527,799 568,404 7.7%
50 Argentina
South America
45,696,159 49,246,324 7.8%
51 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
South America
28,405,543 30,767,533 8.3%
52 Czechia
Europe
10,905,028 11,830,499 8.5%
53 Brazil
South America
211,998,573 231,430,711 9.2%
54 El Salvador
North America
6,338,193 6,988,662 10.3%
55 Bahamas
North America
401,283 443,285 10.5%
56 Micronesia (Fed. States of)
Oceania
113,160 125,251 10.7%
57 Azerbaijan
Asia
10,202,830 11,319,062 10.9%
58 Costa Rica
North America
5,129,910 5,686,635 10.9%
59 Cabo Verde
Africa
524,877 583,067 11.1%
60 Fiji
Oceania
928,784 1,034,980 11.4%
61 Austria
Europe
9,177,982 10,236,556 11.5%
62 Denmark
Europe
5,976,992 6,664,904 11.5%
63 Chile
South America
19,764,771 22,199,719 12.3%
64 Lebanon
Asia
5,805,962 6,554,200 12.9%
65 Guyana
South America
831,087 940,307 13.1%
66 Lithuania
Europe
2,888,278 3,273,766 13.3%
67 Aruba
North America
107,995 122,700 13.6%
68 Samoa
Oceania
218,019 249,487 14.4%
69 Tunisia
Africa
12,277,109 14,057,051 14.5%
70 Viet Nam
Asia
100,987,686 115,747,313 14.6%
71 Finland
Europe
5,619,911 6,457,083 14.9%
72 Netherlands
Europe
17,993,485 20,701,456 15%
73 Bhutan
Asia
791,524 911,146 15.1%
74 Belgium
Europe
11,858,610 13,692,586 15.5%
75 Myanmar
Asia
54,500,091 63,048,224 15.7%
76 Bahrain
Asia
1,588,670 1,861,424 17.2%
77 G U A M Guam
Oceania
167,777 197,724 17.8%
78 Sudan
Africa
50,448,963 60,070,210 19.1%
79 Indonesia
Asia
283,487,931 337,952,241 19.2%
80 Brunei Darussalam
Asia
462,721 552,172 19.3%
81 Philippines
Asia
115,843,670 138,448,839 19.5%
82 Dominican Republic
North America
11,427,557 13,718,132 20%
83 Curacao
North America
155,967 187,198 20%
84 Ecuador
South America
18,135,478 21,837,910 20.4%
85 Mexico
North America
130,861,007 157,575,696 20.4%
86 Suriname
South America
634,431 766,801 20.9%
87 India
Asia
1,450,935,791 1,758,519,525 21.2%
88 Kuwait
Asia
4,897,263 5,946,395 21.4%
89 New Caledonia
Oceania
292,639 359,282 22.8%
90 Norway
Europe
5,572,279 6,839,976 22.8%
91 Morocco
Africa
38,081,173 46,976,028 23.4%
92 United States of America
North America
340,110,988 419,876,982 23.5%
93 Cyprus
Asia
1,358,282 1,679,734 23.7%
94 Jordan
Asia
11,552,876 14,300,111 23.8%
95 Eswatini
Africa
1,242,822 1,540,740 24%
96 Spain
Europe
48,848,840 60,888,472 24.6%
97 Libya
Africa
7,381,023 9,210,261 24.8%
98 Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Asia
91,567,738 114,914,867 25.5%
99 United Kingdom
Europe
69,226,000 87,121,132 25.9%
100 Colombia
South America
52,886,363 66,679,564 26.1%
101 Portugal
Europe
10,694,681 13,544,554 26.6%
102 Peru
South America
34,217,848 43,321,358 26.6%
103 Lesotho
Africa
2,337,423 2,973,715 27.2%
104 Haiti
North America
11,772,557 15,100,817 28.3%
105 Timor-Leste
Asia
1,400,638 1,804,192 28.8%
106 China, Macao SAR
Asia
687,000 889,973 29.5%
107 Bangladesh
Asia
173,562,364 225,509,695 29.9%
108 Malaysia
Asia
35,557,673 46,259,275 30.1%
109 Cambodia
Asia
17,638,801 22,973,804 30.2%
110 Paraguay
South America
6,929,153 9,041,300 30.5%
111 Mongolia
Asia
3,524,788 4,610,584 30.8%
112 South Africa
Africa
64,007,187 83,789,173 30.9%
113 Israel
Asia
9,974,400 13,101,026 31.3%
114 Panama
North America
4,515,577 5,932,403 31.4%
115 Kazakhstan
Asia
20,592,571 27,149,715 31.8%
116 Switzerland
Europe
9,005,582 11,929,904 32.5%
117 Seychelles
Africa
121,354 160,979 32.7%
118 Nicaragua
North America
6,916,140 9,244,524 33.7%
119 Lao People's Democratic Republic
Asia
7,769,819 10,411,119 34%
120 Djibouti
Africa
1,168,722 1,566,320 34%
121 Bolivia (Plurinational State of)
South America
12,413,315 16,682,169 34.4%
122 Algeria
Africa
46,814,308 63,269,034 35.1%
123 Belize
North America
417,072 568,807 36.4%
124 Kiribati
Oceania
134,518 185,356 37.8%
125 Pakistan
Asia
251,269,164 347,767,910 38.4%
126 Guatemala
North America
18,406,359 25,648,541 39.3%
127 Ireland
Europe
5,395,790 7,571,204 40.3%
128 Luxembourg
Europe
677,012 950,293 40.4%
129 Botswana
Africa
2,521,139 3,584,494 42.2%
130 New Zealand
Oceania
5,287,500 7,571,336 43.2%
131 Honduras
North America
10,825,703 15,554,738 43.7%
132 Kyrgyzstan
Asia
7,221,868 10,422,644 44.3%
133 Egypt
Africa
116,538,258 169,191,501 45.2%
134 Turkmenistan
Asia
7,494,498 10,921,091 45.7%
135 Zimbabwe
Africa
16,634,373 24,394,762 46.7%
136 Papua New Guinea
Oceania
10,576,502 15,517,766 46.7%
137 Eritrea
Africa
3,535,603 5,275,688 49.2%
138 Ghana
Africa
34,427,414 51,517,303 49.6%
139 Comoros
Africa
866,628 1,301,488 50.2%
140 Tajikistan
Asia
10,590,927 15,991,984 51%
141 Kenya
Africa
56,432,944 85,945,281 52.3%
142 Uzbekistan
Asia
36,361,859 55,533,060 52.7%
143 Australia
Oceania
27,196,812 41,741,598 53.5%
144 Singapore
Asia
6,036,860 9,266,654 53.5%
145 Sao Tome and Principe
Africa
235,536 362,011 53.7%
146 Nigeria
Africa
232,679,478 363,961,104 56.4%
147 Sierra Leone
Africa
8,642,022 13,632,758 57.7%
148 Iraq
Asia
46,042,015 72,663,254 57.8%
149 Rwanda
Africa
14,256,567 22,581,192 58.4%
150 Gabon
Africa
2,538,952 4,033,995 58.9%
151 Liberia
Africa
5,612,817 8,919,569 58.9%
152 Guinea-Bissau
Africa
2,201,352 3,534,134 60.5%
153 Namibia
Africa
3,030,131 4,897,851 61.6%
154 Togo
Africa
9,515,236 15,394,052 61.8%
155 Burkina Faso
Africa
23,548,781 38,135,337 61.9%
156 Vanuatu
Oceania
327,777 533,926 62.9%
157 Gambia
Africa
2,759,988 4,499,442 63%
158 Armenia
Asia
3,033,500 4,977,298 64.1%
159 Senegal
Africa
18,501,984 30,441,428 64.5%
160 State of Palestine
Asia
5,289,152 8,775,974 65.9%
161 Solomon Islands
Oceania
819,198 1,362,283 66.3%
162 Guinea
Africa
14,754,785 24,667,964 67.2%
163 Congo
Africa
6,332,961 10,593,083 67.3%
164 Equatorial Guinea
Africa
1,892,516 3,169,923 67.5%
165 Cote d'Ivoire
Africa
31,934,230 53,847,569 68.6%
166 Madagascar
Africa
31,964,956 53,888,688 68.6%
167 Benin
Africa
14,462,724 24,519,814 69.5%
168 Malawi
Africa
21,655,286 37,617,972 73.7%
169 Ethiopia
Africa
132,059,767 229,749,642 74%
170 Burundi
Africa
14,047,786 24,441,721 74%
171 Cameroon
Africa
29,123,744 50,982,154 75.1%
172 Uganda
Africa
50,015,092 90,209,038 80.4%
173 Zambia
Africa
21,314,956 38,920,106 82.6%
174 Afghanistan
Asia
42,647,492 78,281,248 83.6%
175 Malta
Europe
568,847 1,051,800 84.9%
176 United Republic of Tanzania
Africa
68,560,157 126,852,590 85%
177 Mauritania
Africa
5,169,395 9,584,238 85.4%
178 Mozambique
Africa
34,631,766 64,698,951 86.8%
179 Mali
Africa
24,478,595 45,936,372 87.7%
180 Canada
North America
41,288,599 77,827,500 88.5%
181 Yemen
Asia
40,583,164 76,820,227 89.3%
182 Angola
Africa
37,885,849 72,661,550 91.8%
183 Democratic Republic of the Congo
Africa
109,276,265 218,543,121 100%
184 Niger
Africa
27,032,412 54,502,451 101.6%
185 Central African Republic
Africa
5,330,690 11,023,801 106.8%
186 Somalia
Africa
19,009,151 39,984,794 110.3%
187 South Sudan
Africa
11,943,408 27,588,798 131%
188 Syrian Arab Republic
Asia
24,672,760 63,813,081 158.6%
189 Oman
Asia
5,281,538 13,743,837 160.2%
190 Saudi Arabia
Asia
35,300,280 94,460,425 167.6%
191 United Arab Emirates
Asia
10,986,400 29,718,796 170.5%
192 Chad
Africa
20,299,123 58,029,297 185.9%
193 Qatar
Asia
2,857,822 13,322,981 366.2%